North Carolina A&TNCAT
Georgia StateGAST
WFI 3negligible87°F · wind 5 g12 mph · dry · rain chance 6%
Heat-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 12, 87°F.
Every Sun Belt game over the next eleven days — 22 — with the posted line, kickoff, stadium, and the forecast weather impact on each.
Weeks 1–2 · 22 games · forecasts off NBM run 20260904T06:00Z
Friday, September 4
Saturday, September 5
LibertyLIB
WFI 5range 0–19negligible82°F · wind 5 g12 mph · rain 0.008 in/hr · rain chance 48% (soaking 23%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 12, 82°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
WFI 7range 0–14negligible75°F · wind 4 g10 mph · rain 0.014 in/hr · rain chance 62% (soaking 18%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 10, 75°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
MarshallMRSH
WFI 0negligible76°F · wind 5 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 6%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Texas StateTXST
WFI 8negligible96°F · wind 5 g12 mph · dry · rain chance 10%
Heat-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 12, 96°F.
Norfolk StateNORF
Old DominionODU
WFI 12range 3–19negligible79°F · wind 6 g10 mph · rain 0.029 in/hr · rain chance 54% (soaking 16%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 11, 79°F, rain 0.03 in/hr.
Charleston SouthernCHSO
Georgia SouthernGASO
WFI 2negligible84°F · wind 3 g9 mph · dry
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Arkansas StateARST
MemphisMEM
WFI 7range 3–14negligible92°F · wind 3 g7 mph · dry · rain chance 16%
Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 7, 92°F.
SE LouisianaSELA
South AlabamaUSA
WFI 3range 0–15negligible81°F · wind 3 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 35%
Precipitation-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 8, 81°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.
Sam HoustonSHSU
TroyTROY
WFI 6range 0–17negligible82°F · wind 2 g9 mph · rain 0.011 in/hr · rain chance 36%
Precipitation-driven impact — 2 mph wind, gusts 9, 82°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
LamarLAM
WFI 5negligible81°F · wind 1 g5 mph · rain 0.005 in/hr
Precipitation-driven impact — 1 mph wind, gusts 5, 81°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
Saturday, September 12
WFI 0range 0–8negligible78°F · wind 2 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 15%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
WagnerWAG
WFI 0negligible80°F · wind 4 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 7%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
UTSAUTSA
Texas StateTXST
WFI 13negligible93°F · wind 8 g15 mph · dry · rain chance 6%
Heat-driven impact — 8 mph wind, gusts 15, 93°F.
Alabama StateALST
TroyTROY
WFI 4range 0–19negligible90°F · wind 4 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 26%
Heat-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 9, 90°F.
West GeorgiaWES
Arkansas StateARST
WFI 9negligible87°F · wind 9 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 7%
Wind-driven impact — 9 mph wind, gusts 10, 87°F.
Georgia StateGAST
Kennesaw StateKENN
WFI 0range 0–8negligible82°F · wind 4 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 15%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Middle TennesseeMTSU
MarshallMRSH
WFI 0negligible76°F · wind 3 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 10%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
South AlabamaUSA
TulaneTULN
WFI 4range 0–22negligible85°F · wind 4 g6 mph · dry · rain chance 34%
Heat-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 6, 85°F.
Georgia SouthernGASO
ClemsonCLEM
WFI 0negligible80°F · wind 2 g7 mph · dry · rain chance 14%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
FordhamFOR
WFI 0range 0–13negligible78°F · wind 5 g12 mph · dry · rain chance 26%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
WFI 7negligible69°F · wind 8 g12 mph · dry
Wind-driven impact — 8 mph wind, gusts 13, 69°F.
Reading the weather chip: the Weather Football Index
scores forecast conditions 0–100 for football impact —
0–19 negligible,
20–39 minor,
40–59 notable,
60–79 high,
80+ extreme.
Domes are scored, not skipped: the roof factor takes them to near zero.
Rain chances are the NBM ensemble's probability of measurable precipitation in the
6-hour window covering kickoff (a "soaking" is ≥0.25"), which says what a single
blended rate cannot — a 79% storm day can still average out to a dry-looking number.
Lines are the book's posted numbers via ESPN; the Kalshi row is the implied total and win price from that game's traded strike ladder on the regulated exchange, shown only while fresh. Both update through the week.
See the methodology.