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Independents This Week

Scorebugs with the line, the location, and the weather — updated hourly off the National Blend of Models.

Every Independents game over the next eleven days — 2 — with the posted line, kickoff, stadium, and the forecast weather impact on each.

Weeks 1–2 · 2 games · forecasts off NBM run 20260904T06:00Z

Sunday, September 6

Sun, Sep 6 · 6:30 PM CDTNBC
ND -20.5 · O/U 46.5
Kalshi total 46.1 · ND win 92% 9k vol
Lambeau Fieldneutral siteGreen Bay, WI
WFI 0negligible72°F · wind 3 g7 mph · dry

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Saturday, September 12

Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDTNBC
no line posted yet
Kalshi ND win 98%
Notre Dame StadiumNotre Dame, IN
WFI 6negligible76°F · wind 7 g16 mph · dry · rain chance 9%

Wind-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 16, 76°F.

Reading the weather chip: the Weather Football Index scores forecast conditions 0–100 for football impact — 0–19 negligible, 20–39 minor, 40–59 notable, 60–79 high, 80+ extreme. Domes are scored, not skipped: the roof factor takes them to near zero. Rain chances are the NBM ensemble's probability of measurable precipitation in the 6-hour window covering kickoff (a "soaking" is ≥0.25"), which says what a single blended rate cannot — a 79% storm day can still average out to a dry-looking number. Lines are the book's posted numbers via ESPN; the Kalshi row is the implied total and win price from that game's traded strike ladder on the regulated exchange, shown only while fresh. Both update through the week. See the methodology.