WFI 6range 0–19negligible76°F · wind 4 g9 mph · rain 0.01 in/hr · rain chance 49% (soaking 21%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 9, 76°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
Every MAC game over the next eleven days — 22 — with the posted line, kickoff, stadium, and the forecast weather impact on each.
Weeks 1–2 · 22 games · forecasts off NBM run 20260904T06:00Z
Friday, September 4
ToledoTOL
WFI 3range 0–9negligible72°F · wind 3 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 45%
Precipitation-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 10, 72°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.
Saturday, September 5
Tarleton StateTAR
Bowling GreenBGSU
WFI 9range 7–17negligible76°F · wind 8 g15 mph · dry · rain chance 29%
Wind-driven impact — 8 mph wind, gusts 15, 76°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.
WFI 7negligible92°F · wind 6 g13 mph · dry
Heat-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 13, 92°F.
Ball StateBALL
WFI 8range 3–17negligible82°F · wind 6 g12 mph · rain 0.009 in/hr · rain chance 39%
Precipitation-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 12, 82°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
Miami (OH)M-OH
PittsburghPITT
WFI 4range 0–8negligible77°F · wind 5 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 23%
Precipitation-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 10, 77°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.
Kent StateKENT
WFI 10negligible96°F · wind 3 g6 mph · dry · rain chance 15%
Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 6, 96°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.
WFI 8negligible89°F · wind 6 g8 mph · dry
Heat-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 8, 89°F.
WFI 3negligible69°F · wind 6 g14 mph · dry · rain chance 6%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
WFI 0negligible80°F · wind 3 g10 mph · dry
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Saturday, September 12
WoffordWOF
Kent StateKENT
WFI 3negligible75°F · wind 6 g12 mph · dry · rain chance 10%
Wind-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 12, 75°F.
ColgateCOLG
WFI 11negligible74°F · wind 9 g19 mph · dry · rain chance 11%
Wind-driven impact — 9 mph wind, gusts 19, 74°F.
Holy CrossHC
Miami (OH)M-OH
WFI 3negligible80°F · wind 6 g11 mph · dry · rain chance 6%
Wind-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 11, 80°F.
Stony BrookSTBK
Ball StateBALL
WFI 4negligible78°F · wind 7 g12 mph · dry · rain chance 6%
Wind-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 13, 78°F.
Robert MorrisRMU
AkronAKR
WFI 3negligible74°F · wind 6 g12 mph · dry · rain chance 10%
Wind-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 12, 74°F.
WFI 11negligible74°F · wind 9 g20 mph · dry · rain chance 9%
Wind-driven impact — 9 mph wind, gusts 20, 74°F.
Central ConnecticutCCSU
ToledoTOL
WFI 5negligible75°F · wind 7 g14 mph · dry · rain chance 7%
Wind-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 14, 75°F.
BuffaloBUFF
WFI 6range 0–20negligible82°F · wind 3 g7 mph · rain 0.01 in/hr · rain chance 48% (soaking 21%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 7, 82°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
OhioOHIO
WFI 0negligible71°F · wind 2 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 12%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
MonmouthMONM
WFI 4negligible70°F · wind 6 g16 mph · dry · rain chance 12%
Wind-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 16, 70°F.
Bowling GreenBGSU
NebraskaNEB
WFI 9range 9–22negligible86°F · wind 9 g16 mph · dry · rain chance 13%
Wind-driven impact — 9 mph wind, gusts 16, 86°F.
Illinois StateILST
WFI 8negligible74°F · wind 9 g13 mph · dry · rain chance 10%
Wind-driven impact — 9 mph wind, gusts 13, 74°F.
Reading the weather chip: the Weather Football Index
scores forecast conditions 0–100 for football impact —
0–19 negligible,
20–39 minor,
40–59 notable,
60–79 high,
80+ extreme.
Domes are scored, not skipped: the roof factor takes them to near zero.
Rain chances are the NBM ensemble's probability of measurable precipitation in the
6-hour window covering kickoff (a "soaking" is ≥0.25"), which says what a single
blended rate cannot — a 79% storm day can still average out to a dry-looking number.
Lines are the book's posted numbers via ESPN; the Kalshi row is the implied total and win price from that game's traded strike ladder on the regulated exchange, shown only while fresh. Both update through the week.
See the methodology.