WFI 16negligible91°F · wind 10 g18 mph · dry
Wind-driven impact — 10 mph wind, gusts 18, 91°F.
Every Conference USA game over the next eleven days — 17 — with the posted line, kickoff, stadium, and the forecast weather impact on each.
Weeks 1–2 · 17 games · forecasts off NBM run 20260904T06:00Z
Friday, September 4
Saturday, September 5
LibertyLIB
WFI 5range 0–19negligible82°F · wind 5 g12 mph · rain 0.008 in/hr · rain chance 48% (soaking 23%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 12, 82°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
Eastern KentuckyEKU
WFI 6range 0–8negligible84°F · wind 2 g6 mph · rain 0.007 in/hr · rain chance 9%
Precipitation-driven impact — 2 mph wind, gusts 6, 84°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
Murray StateMUR
Middle TennesseeMTSU
WFI 6negligible88°F · wind 3 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 10%
Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 8, 88°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.
WFI 4range 0–17negligible83°F · wind 2 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 35%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Northwestern StateNWST
WFI 2range 0–14negligible83°F · wind 1 g6 mph · dry · rain chance 16%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
MercyhurstMERC
New Mexico StateNMSU
WFI 0negligible84°F · wind 1 g6 mph · dry · rain chance 18%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
NevadaNEV
WFI 2negligible67°F · wind 6 g13 mph · dry
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Saturday, September 12
WFI 2range 0–14negligible90°F · wind 5 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 17%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
BuffaloBUFF
WFI 6range 0–20negligible82°F · wind 3 g7 mph · rain 0.01 in/hr · rain chance 48% (soaking 21%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 7, 82°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
Gardner-WebbGWEB
LibertyLIB
WFI 0negligible76°F · wind 4 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 9%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
OhioOHIO
WFI 0negligible71°F · wind 2 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 12%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Georgia StateGAST
Kennesaw StateKENN
WFI 0range 0–8negligible82°F · wind 4 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 15%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Middle TennesseeMTSU
MarshallMRSH
WFI 0negligible76°F · wind 3 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 10%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
WFI 4range 0–22negligible86°F · wind 3 g6 mph · dry · rain chance 34%
Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 6, 86°F.
Texas SouthernTXSO
UTEPUTEP
WFI 3range 3–14negligible90°F · wind 6 g13 mph · dry · rain chance 17%
Wind-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 13, 90°F.
New Mexico StateNMSU
Hawai'iHAW
WFI 2negligible78°F · wind 5 g15 mph · dry
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Reading the weather chip: the Weather Football Index
scores forecast conditions 0–100 for football impact —
0–19 negligible,
20–39 minor,
40–59 notable,
60–79 high,
80+ extreme.
Domes are scored, not skipped: the roof factor takes them to near zero.
Rain chances are the NBM ensemble's probability of measurable precipitation in the
6-hour window covering kickoff (a "soaking" is ≥0.25"), which says what a single
blended rate cannot — a 79% storm day can still average out to a dry-looking number.
Lines are the book's posted numbers via ESPN; the Kalshi row is the implied total and win price from that game's traded strike ladder on the regulated exchange, shown only while fresh. Both update through the week.
See the methodology.