WFI 8range 3–13negligible93°F · wind 3 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 15%
Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 8, 93°F.
Every American game over the next eleven days — 23 — with the posted line, kickoff, stadium, and the forecast weather impact on each.
Weeks 1–2 · 23 games · forecasts off NBM run 20260904T06:00Z
Saturday, September 5
BryantBRY
ArmyARMY
WFI 2negligible78°F · wind 6 g14 mph · dry
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
North TexasUNT
WFI 8range 1–16negligible89°F · wind 5 g11 mph · dry · rain chance 11%
Heat-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 11, 89°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.
Rhode IslandURI
TempleTEM
WFI 1negligible80°F · wind 5 g11 mph · dry
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
The CitadelCIT
CharlotteCLT
WFI 12range 2–21negligible93°F · wind 5 g10 mph · rain 0.007 in/hr · rain chance 40%
Heat-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 10, 93°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
WFI 16range 1–32negligible90°F · wind 6 g10 mph · rain 0.025 in/hr · rain chance 63% (soaking 33%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 10, 90°F, rain 0.03 in/hr.
TowsonTOW
NavyNAVY
WFI 1negligible81°F · wind 5 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 8%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Oklahoma StateOKST
TulsaTLSA
WFI 8negligible98°F · wind 4 g8 mph · dry
Heat-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 8, 98°F.
Arkansas StateARST
MemphisMEM
WFI 7range 3–14negligible92°F · wind 3 g7 mph · dry · rain chance 16%
Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 7, 92°F.
Houston ChristianHCU
RiceRICE
WFI 8range 0–23negligible84°F · wind 4 g7 mph · rain 0.006 in/hr · rain chance 50% (soaking 24%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 7, 84°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
WFI 4range 0–17negligible83°F · wind 2 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 35%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
FloridaFLA
WFI 2range 0–16negligible79°F · wind 3 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 37%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Saturday, September 12
ArmyARMY
WFI 1negligible74°F · wind 6 g12 mph · dry · rain chance 7%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
App StateAPP
WFI 4negligible86°F · wind 7 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 11%
Wind-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 10, 86°F.
TempleTEM
WFI 2negligible76°F · wind 6 g13 mph · dry · rain chance 6%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
RiceRICE
WFI 6negligible76°F · wind 7 g16 mph · dry · rain chance 9%
Wind-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 16, 76°F.
UL MonroeULM
UABUAB
WFI 3range 0–13negligible90°F · wind 5 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 15%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
UNLVUNLV
North TexasUNT
WFI 18negligible95°F · wind 10 g17 mph · dry · rain chance 9%
Wind-driven impact — 10 mph wind, gusts 17, 95°F.
MemphisMEM
Boise StateBOIS
WFI 8negligible77°F · wind 8 g18 mph · dry · rain chance 8%
Wind-driven impact — 8 mph wind, gusts 18, 77°F.
TulsaTLSA
Sam HoustonSHSU
WFI 5range 1–17negligible87°F · wind 6 g14 mph · dry · rain chance 14%
Heat-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 14, 87°F.
South AlabamaUSA
TulaneTULN
WFI 4range 0–22negligible85°F · wind 4 g6 mph · dry · rain chance 34%
Heat-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 6, 85°F.
NavyNAVY
WFI 10range 2–22negligible83°F · wind 6 g9 mph · rain 0.01 in/hr · rain chance 48% (soaking 18%)
Precipitation-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 9, 83°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.
WFI 0negligible86°F · wind 3 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 11%
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Reading the weather chip: the Weather Football Index
scores forecast conditions 0–100 for football impact —
0–19 negligible,
20–39 minor,
40–59 notable,
60–79 high,
80+ extreme.
Domes are scored, not skipped: the roof factor takes them to near zero.
Rain chances are the NBM ensemble's probability of measurable precipitation in the
6-hour window covering kickoff (a "soaking" is ≥0.25"), which says what a single
blended rate cannot — a 79% storm day can still average out to a dry-looking number.
Lines are the book's posted numbers via ESPN; the Kalshi row is the implied total and win price from that game's traded strike ladder on the regulated exchange, shown only while fresh. Both update through the week.
See the methodology.