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SEC This Week

Scorebugs with the line, the location, and the weather — updated hourly off the National Blend of Models.

Every SEC game over the next eleven days — 30 — with the posted line, kickoff, stadium, and the forecast weather impact on each.

Weeks 1–2 · 30 games · forecasts off NBM run 20260904T06:00Z

Friday, September 4

UTEPUTEP
Fri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM CDTSECN+
OU -40.5 · O/U 51.5
Kalshi total 51.6 · OU win 99% 110k vol
Memorial StadiumNorman, OK
WFI 16negligible91°F · wind 10 g18 mph · dry

Wind-driven impact — 10 mph wind, gusts 18, 91°F.

Saturday, September 5

Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM CDTABC
ALA -27.5 · O/U 52.5
Kalshi total 52.7 · ALA win 96% 10k vol
Bryant-Denny StadiumTuscaloosa, AL
WFI 8range 3–13negligible93°F · wind 3 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 15%

Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 8, 93°F.

Sat, Sep 5 · 12:45 PM EDTSEC Network
SC -35.5 · O/U 53.5
Kalshi total 53.9 · SC win 98% 23k vol
Williams-Brice StadiumColumbia, SC
WFI 10negligible96°F · wind 3 g6 mph · dry · rain chance 15%

Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 6, 96°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.

Youngstown StateYSU
Sat, Sep 5 · 1:00 PM EDTSECN+
UK -22.5 · O/U 62.5
Kalshi total 62.1 · UK win 94%
Kroger FieldLexington, KY
WFI 15range 3–33negligible89°F · wind 6 g12 mph · rain 0.018 in/hr · rain chance 50% (soaking 24%)

Precipitation-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 12, 89°F, rain 0.02 in/hr.

Tennessee StateTNST
Sat, Sep 5 · 3:00 PM EDTSECN+
UGA -46.5 · O/U 55.5
Kalshi total 54.9 · UGA win 99% 24k vol
Sanford StadiumAthens, GA
WFI 13range 5–13negligible96°F · wind 4 g8 mph · rain 0.007 in/hr · rain chance 9%

Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 8, 96°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.

Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTABC
AUB -7.5 · O/U 59.5
Kalshi total 59.2 · AUB win 72% 167k vol
Mercedes-Benz Stadiumneutral siteAtlanta, GA
WFI 13range 1–17negligible94°F · wind 3 g7 mph · rain 0.015 in/hr · rain chance 30%

Precipitation-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 7, 94°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.

FurmanFUR
20TennesseeTENN
Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTSECN+
TENN -47.5 · O/U 66.5
Kalshi total 66.4 · TENN win 99% 2k vol
Neyland StadiumKnoxville, TN
WFI 9range 1–17negligible92°F · wind 3 g7 mph · dry · rain chance 30%

Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 7, 91°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.

Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDTESPN
TEX -29.5 · O/U 59.5
Kalshi total 59.7 · TEX win 98% 21k vol
DKR-Texas Memorial StadiumAustin, TX
WFI 8negligible96°F · wind 5 g12 mph · dry · rain chance 10%

Heat-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 12, 96°F.

North AlabamaUNA
Sat, Sep 5 · 3:15 PM CDTSEC Network
ARK -40.5 · O/U 63.5
Kalshi total 62.2 · ARK win 98% 4k vol
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback StadiumFayetteville, AR
WFI 10range 4–15negligible98°F · wind 4 g7 mph · dry · rain chance 8%

Heat-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 7, 98°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.

Missouri StateMOST
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDTESPN
TA&M -40.5 · O/U 53.5
Kalshi total 53.6 · TA&M win 99% 25k vol
Kyle FieldCollege Station, TX
WFI 7range 0–19negligible85°F · wind 5 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 30%

Heat-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 9, 85°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.

Austin PeayAPSU
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDTSECN+
VAN -29.5 · O/U 60.5
Kalshi total 59.2 · VAN win 96% 7k vol
FirstBank StadiumNashville, TN
WFI 6range 1–15negligible89°F · wind 3 g7 mph · dry · rain chance 19%

Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 7, 89°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.

11LSULSU
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDTABC
LSU -10 · O/U 50.5
Kalshi total 50.5 · LSU win 78% 10k vol
Tiger StadiumBaton Rouge, LA
WFI 7range 0–21negligible81°F · wind 1 g4 mph · rain 0.013 in/hr · rain chance 54% (soaking 20%)

Precipitation-driven impact — 1 mph wind, gusts 4, 81°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.

UL MonroeULM
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDTESPNU
MSST -28.5 · O/U 54.5
Kalshi total 54.5 · MSST win 96%
Davis Wade StadiumStarkville, MS
WFI 4range 0–8negligible85°F · wind 2 g6 mph · dry · rain chance 9%

Heat-driven impact — 2 mph wind, gusts 6, 85°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.

Sat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM EDTSEC Network
FLA -26.5 · O/U 59.5
Kalshi total 59 · FLA win 4%
Ben Hill Griffin StadiumGainesville, FL
WFI 2range 0–16negligible79°F · wind 3 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 37%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Sunday, September 6

Sun, Sep 6 · 6:30 PM CDTABC
MISS -6.5 · O/U 55.5
Kalshi total 55 · MISS win 70% 10k vol
Nissan Stadiumneutral siteNashville, TN
WFI 12negligible88°F · wind 9 g14 mph · dry

Wind-driven impact — 9 mph wind, gusts 14, 88°F.

Friday, September 11

Fri, Sep 11 · 7:00 PM CDTFOX
MIZ -6.5 · O/U 53.5
Kalshi total 51.5 · KU win 31% 6k vol
David Booth Kansas Memorial StadiumLawrence, KS
WFI 1negligible86°F · wind 5 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 5%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Saturday, September 12

Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM EDTFOX
OU -1.5 · O/U 46.5
Kalshi total 45.5 · MICH win 48%
Michigan StadiumAnn Arbor, MI
WFI 9negligible74°F · wind 9 g18 mph · dry · rain chance 8%

Wind-driven impact — 9 mph wind, gusts 18, 74°F.

Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00 AM CDTABC
TA&M -14.5 · O/U 51.5
Kalshi TA&M win 86%
Kyle FieldCollege Station, TX
WFI 13range 10–20negligible92°F · wind 7 g12 mph · dry · rain chance 11%

Heat-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 13, 92°F.

Sat, Sep 12 · 12:45 PM EDTSEC Network
no line posted yet
Kalshi UGA win 98%
Sanford StadiumAthens, GA
WFI 2range 0–14negligible90°F · wind 5 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 17%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDTABC
ALA -10.5
Kalshi UK win 23%
Kroger FieldLexington, KY
WFI 2range 2–10negligible82°F · wind 6 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 11%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30 PM CDTCBS
MINN -2.5
Kalshi MINN win 56%
Huntington Bank StadiumMinneapolis, MN
WFI 16negligible76°F · wind 12 g22 mph · dry · rain chance 10%

Wind-driven impact — 12 mph wind, gusts 21, 75°F.

DelawareDEL
Sat, Sep 12 · 3:15 PM CDTSEC Network
no line posted yet
Kalshi VAN win 92%
FirstBank StadiumNashville, TN
WFI 3range 2–10negligible90°F · wind 6 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 9%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

CampbellCAM
Sat, Sep 12 · 5:30 PM EDTSECN+
no line posted yet
Kalshi FLA win 98%
Ben Hill Griffin StadiumGainesville, FL
WFI 0range 0–21negligible79°F · wind 5 g11 mph · dry · rain chance 34% (soaking 15%)

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Sat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM EDTESPN
TENN -8.5
Kalshi GT win 24%
Bobby Dodd StadiumAtlanta, GA
WFI 2range 2–12negligible84°F · wind 6 g11 mph · dry · rain chance 18%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

TowsonTOW
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM EDTSECN+
no line posted yet
Kalshi SC win 98%
Williams-Brice StadiumColumbia, SC
WFI 0range 0–13negligible84°F · wind 3 g8 mph · dry · rain chance 21%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Sat, Sep 12 · 6:30 PM CDTSECN+
no line posted yet
Kalshi LSU win 98%
Tiger StadiumBaton Rouge, LA
WFI 4range 0–22negligible86°F · wind 3 g6 mph · dry · rain chance 34%

Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 6, 86°F.

Sat, Sep 12 · 6:30 PM CDTABC
TEX -1.5 · O/U 47.5
Kalshi TEX win 52%
DKR-Texas Memorial StadiumAustin, TX
WFI 12range 7–15negligible93°F · wind 8 g17 mph · dry · rain chance 6%

Wind-driven impact — 8 mph wind, gusts 17, 93°F.

Southern MissUSM
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:45 PM CDTSEC Network
no line posted yet
Kalshi AUB win 96%
Jordan-Hare StadiumAuburn, AL
WFI 0range 0–12negligible82°F · wind 4 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 19%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Sat, Sep 12 · 6:45 PM CDTESPN2
no line posted yet
Kalshi MISS win 98%
Vaught-Hemingway StadiumOxford, MS
WFI 0negligible86°F · wind 3 g9 mph · dry · rain chance 11%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

21UtahUTAH
Sat, Sep 12 · 8:15 PM MDTESPN
UTAH -9.5 · O/U 54.5
Kalshi UTAH win 76%
Rice-Eccles StadiumSalt Lake City, UT
WFI 0negligible72°F · wind 4 g11 mph · dry · rain chance 17%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Reading the weather chip: the Weather Football Index scores forecast conditions 0–100 for football impact — 0–19 negligible, 20–39 minor, 40–59 notable, 60–79 high, 80+ extreme. Domes are scored, not skipped: the roof factor takes them to near zero. Rain chances are the NBM ensemble's probability of measurable precipitation in the 6-hour window covering kickoff (a "soaking" is ≥0.25"), which says what a single blended rate cannot — a 79% storm day can still average out to a dry-looking number. Lines are the book's posted numbers via ESPN; the Kalshi row is the implied total and win price from that game's traded strike ladder on the regulated exchange, shown only while fresh. Both update through the week. See the methodology.