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Mountain West This Week

Scorebugs with the line, the location, and the weather — updated hourly off the National Blend of Models.

Every Mountain West game over the next eleven days — 21 — with the posted line, kickoff, stadium, and the forecast weather impact on each.

Weeks 1–2 · 21 games · forecasts off NBM run 20260904T06:00Z

Friday, September 4

Fri, Sep 4 · 6:30 PM EDTESPN+
EMU -3 · O/U 56.5
Kalshi total 55.8 · EMU win 57% 56k vol
Rynearson StadiumYpsilanti, MI
WFI 6range 0–19negligible76°F · wind 4 g9 mph · rain 0.01 in/hr · rain chance 49% (soaking 21%)

Precipitation-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 9, 76°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.

Fri, Sep 4 · 6:00 PM PDTFOX
USC -22.5 · O/U 51.5
Kalshi total 51.9 · USC win 94% 47k vol
Los Angeles Memorial ColiseumLos Angeles, CA
WFI 0negligible71°F · wind 5 g12 mph · dry

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Saturday, September 5

DuquesneDUQ
Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM MDTMW+
AF -28.5 · O/U 57.5
Kalshi total 57 · AFA win 96% 2k vol
Falcon StadiumUSAF Academy, CO
WFI 7negligible83°F · wind 6 g17 mph · dry · rain chance 16%

Wind-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 17, 83°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.

Sat, Sep 5 · 12:30 PM PDTCBS
ORE -24.5 · O/U 51.5
Kalshi total 51.7 · ORE win 94% 18k vol
Autzen StadiumEugene, OR
WFI 0negligible71°F · wind 4 g8 mph · dry

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Sat, Sep 5 · 4:00 PM MDTUSA Net
CSU -3 · O/U 46.5
Kalshi total 46 · CSU win 60% 9k vol
Canvas StadiumFort Collins, CO
WFI 7negligible88°F · wind 7 g15 mph · dry

Wind-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 15, 88°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.

Idaho StateIDST
Sat, Sep 5 · 5:00 PM MDTCBSSN
USU -14 · O/U 62.5
Kalshi total 61.3 · USU win 84% 9k vol
Maverik StadiumLogan, UT
WFI 4negligible81°F · wind 6 g17 mph · dry

Wind-driven impact — 6 mph wind, gusts 17, 81°F.

Portland StatePRST
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM PDTUSA Net
SDSU -40.5 · O/U 61.5
Kalshi total 61.9 · SDSU win 98% 2k vol
Snapdragon StadiumSan Diego, CA
WFI 5negligible75°F · wind 4 g8 mph · rain 0.007 in/hr · rain chance 9%

Precipitation-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 8, 75°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.

Sat, Sep 5 · 4:00 PM HSTCW
UNLV -3 · O/U 55.5
Kalshi total 55.7 · HAW win 44% 4k vol
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics ComplexHonolulu, HI
WFI 16negligible81°F · wind 8 g18 mph · rain 0.02 in/hr

Precipitation-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 18, 81°F, rain 0.02 in/hr.

Sat, Sep 5 · 8:00 PM MDTFS1
UNM -10.5 · O/U 46.5
Kalshi total 46.4 · UNM win 78%
University StadiumAlbuquerque, NM
WFI 0negligible80°F · wind 3 g10 mph · dry

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Sat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM PDTCBSSN
WKU -1.5 · O/U 52.5
Kalshi total 52.1 · NEV win 48%
Mackay StadiumReno, NV
WFI 2negligible67°F · wind 6 g13 mph · dry

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Saturday, September 12

Sat, Sep 12 · 12:30 PM PDTBTN
no line posted yet
Kalshi WASH win 92%
Husky StadiumSeattle, WA
WFI 6negligible62°F · wind 5 g8 mph · rain 0.01 in/hr · rain chance 19%

Precipitation-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 8, 62°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.

Sat, Sep 12 · 2:45 PM CDTESPNU
no line posted yet
Kalshi UNT win 32%
DATCU StadiumDenton, TX
WFI 18negligible95°F · wind 10 g17 mph · dry · rain chance 9%

Wind-driven impact — 10 mph wind, gusts 17, 95°F.

MercyhurstMERC
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM MDTMW+
no line posted yet
Kalshi UNM win 94%
University StadiumAlbuquerque, NM
WFI 0negligible83°F · wind 4 g10 mph · dry · rain chance 8%

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Northern ColoradoUNCO
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM MDTMW+
no line posted yet
Kalshi WYO win 85%
War Memorial StadiumLaramie, WY
WFI 24range 24–35minor71°F · wind 15 g25 mph · dry · rain chance 28%

Wind-driven impact — 15 mph wind, gusts 25, 71°F.

Sat, Sep 12 · 4:00 PM MDTUSA Net
BOIS -6.5
Kalshi BOIS win 73%
Albertsons StadiumBoise, ID
WFI 8negligible77°F · wind 8 g18 mph · dry · rain chance 8%

Wind-driven impact — 8 mph wind, gusts 18, 77°F.

Southern UtahSUU
Sat, Sep 12 · 5:00 PM MDTCBSSN
no line posted yet
Kalshi CSU win 64%
Canvas StadiumFort Collins, CO
WFI 14range 14–23negligible83°F · wind 10 g20 mph · dry · rain chance 27%

Wind-driven impact — 11 mph wind, gusts 20, 83°F.

Sat, Sep 12 · 4:15 PM PDTBTN
UCLA -9.5
Kalshi UCLA win 77%
Rose BowlPasadena, CA
WFI 4negligible82°F · wind 7 g15 mph · dry

Wind-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 15, 82°F.

North Dakota StateNDSU
Sat, Sep 12 · 8:00 PM MDTFS1
no line posted yet
Kalshi AFA win 40%
Falcon StadiumUSAF Academy, CO
WFI 14negligible75°F · wind 11 g20 mph · dry · rain chance 18%

Wind-driven impact — 11 mph wind, gusts 20, 75°F.

Sacramento StateSAC
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:30 PM PDTCBSSN
no line posted yet
Kalshi FRES win 90%
Valley Children's StadiumFresno, CA
WFI 7negligible88°F · wind 8 g17 mph · dry

Wind-driven impact — 8 mph wind, gusts 17, 88°F.

Montana StateMTST
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:30 PM PDTCW
no line posted yet
Kalshi NEV win 30%
Mackay StadiumReno, NV
WFI 16negligible76°F · wind 11 g22 mph · dry · rain chance 9%

Wind-driven impact — 11 mph wind, gusts 22, 76°F.

Sat, Sep 12 · 5:59 PM HSTMW+
no line posted yet
Kalshi HAW win 75%
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics ComplexHonolulu, HI
WFI 2negligible78°F · wind 5 g15 mph · dry

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Reading the weather chip: the Weather Football Index scores forecast conditions 0–100 for football impact — 0–19 negligible, 20–39 minor, 40–59 notable, 60–79 high, 80+ extreme. Domes are scored, not skipped: the roof factor takes them to near zero. Rain chances are the NBM ensemble's probability of measurable precipitation in the 6-hour window covering kickoff (a "soaking" is ≥0.25"), which says what a single blended rate cannot — a 79% storm day can still average out to a dry-looking number. Lines are the book's posted numbers via ESPN; the Kalshi row is the implied total and win price from that game's traded strike ladder on the regulated exchange, shown only while fresh. Both update through the week. See the methodology.