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Western Kentucky at Nevada

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

Sat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM PDTCBSSN
WKU -1.5 · O/U 51.5
Kalshi total 51.4 · NEV win 50% 2k vol
Mackay StadiumReno, NV

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 5negligible

Wind-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 15, 65°F.

Wind5
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
65°F
Feels like
65°F
Wind
7 mph
Gusts
15 mph
Humidity
43%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
0% ≥0.1" 0% ≥0.25" 0%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 64°F · wind 24 mph — 17 mph windier than the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
6 pm74°1121
7 pm71°1018
8 pm68°915
9 pm65°713
10 pm63°611
11 pm61°58
12 am60°46

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 95 days: WFI 123 days: WFI 748 h: WFI 724 h: WFI 38d5d3d48h24h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 978°8 g18dry52.5
5 days outWFI 1271°9 g20dry52.5
3 days outWFI 773°7 g18dry52.5
48 h outWFI 765°8 g14dry52.5
24 h outWFI 362°6 g14dry51.5

The forecast moved 9 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Mackay Stadium
Location
Reno, NV
Elevation
4,615 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7