How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
UTEP 0, Oklahoma 51
Total
51 · Over
Observed WFI
WFI 17URMA analysis at the stadium cell (0.3 mi)
Observed conditions
93°F · wind 10 g20 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Fri): WFI 22 (minor) — 99°F, wind 12 g17 mph, dry. Total posted at 50.5.
- 5 days out (Mon): WFI 22 → 15.
- 3 days out (Wed): WFI 15 → 20; the total moved 50.5 → 51.5.
- 48 h out (Thu): WFI 20 → 17; 4° cooler.
- Held essentially steady from there to 3 h out (Fri).
- Measured: WFI 17 (the analysis at the stadium cell). The very first snapshot, 8 days out (Fri), was already within 5 points — this one was knowable a week out.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 22 | 99° | 12 g17 | dry | 50.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 15 | 95° | 9 g14 | dry | 50.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 20 | 94° | 11 g17 | dry | 51.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 17 | 90° | 11 g18 | dry | 51.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 16 | 90° | 11 g19 | dry | 51.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 16 | 91° | 10 g18 | dry | 51.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 16 | 91° | 10 g18 | dry | 51.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 16 | 92° | 10 g18 | dry | 51.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Location
Norman, OK
Elevation
1,165 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.