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Texas State at Texas

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

5TexasTEX
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDTESPN
TEX -29.5 · O/U 59.5
Kalshi total 60.2 · TEX win 98% 60k vol
DKR-Texas Memorial StadiumAustin, TX

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 8negligible

Heat-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 13, 97°F.

Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat8
Temperature
96°F
Feels like
105°F
Wind
5 mph
Gusts
12 mph
Humidity
45%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
5% ≥0.1" 2% ≥0.25" 1%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 96°F · wind 6 mph — agrees with the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
1 pm94°38
2 pm96°49
3 pm97°410
4 pm97°511
5 pm96°613
6 pm93°614
7 pm90°614

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 95 days: WFI 83 days: WFI 848 h: WFI 824 h: WFI 812 h: WFI 88d5d3d48h24h12h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 996°5 g13dry59.5
5 days outWFI 895°4 g10dry59.5
3 days outWFI 894°3 g9dry59.5
48 h outWFI 895°5 g11dry59.5
24 h outWFI 895°5 g12dry59.5
12 h outWFI 896°5 g13dry59.5

The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Location
Austin, TX
Elevation
526 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7