How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
Memphis 27, UNLV 21
Total
48 · Under
Observed WFI
WFI 1measured at VGT
Observed conditions
96°F · wind 16 g28 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Sat): WFI 2 (negligible) — 104°F, wind 16 g26 mph, dry. Total posted at 57.5.
- 5 days out (Tue): the total moved 57.5 → 56.5.
- Held steady to 3 days out (Thu).
- 48 h out (Fri): 4° cooler; wind down 6 mph.
- Held steady to 12 h out (Sat).
- 6 h out (Sat): the total moved 56.5 → 55.5.
- Held essentially steady from there to 3 h out (Sat).
- Measured: WFI 1 (station VGT). The very first snapshot, 8 days out (Sat), was already within 5 points — this one was knowable a week out.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 2 | 104° | 16 g26 | — | 57.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 2 | 102° | 18 g29 | dry | 56.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 2 | 101° | 17 g28 | dry | 56.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 1 | 98° | 12 g21 | dry | 56.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 1 | 97° | 12 g23 | dry | 56.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 1 | 97° | 12 g22 | dry | 56.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 1 | 98° | 12 g22 | dry | 55.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 1 | 98° | 11 g21 | dry | 55.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Allegiant Stadium
Location
Las Vegas, NV
Elevation
2,185 ft
Roof
dome
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.