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Florida Atlantic at Florida

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

Sat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM EDTSEC Network
FLA -26.5 · O/U 59.5
Kalshi total 59.1 · FLA win 4% 9k vol
Ben Hill Griffin StadiumGainesville, FL

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 1range 0–13negligible

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Wind0
Precip1
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
79°F
Feels like
79°F
Wind
3 mph
Gusts
9 mph
Humidity
90%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
51% ≥0.1" 26% ≥0.25" 12%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 79°F · wind 2 mph — agrees with the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
6 pm84°510
7 pm82°49
8 pm80°39
9 pm79°39
10 pm78°39
11 pm77°39
12 am77°38

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 05 days: WFI 03 days: WFI 1648 h: WFI 324 h: WFI 212 h: WFI 18d5d3d48h24h12h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 081°4 g10dry59.5
5 days outWFI 080°3 g8dry59.5
3 days outWFI 1678°3 g80.0759.5
48 h outWFI 379°3 g9dry59.5
24 h outWFI 279°3 g10dry59.5
12 h outWFI 179°3 g9dry59.5

The forecast moved 16 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Location
Gainesville, FL
Elevation
148 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7