Arkansas StateARST
MemphisMEM
Live Conditions
measured at the nearest station while the game is onLive station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.
The Forecast at Kickoff
scored by the same engine as every game since 2001WFI 7negligible
Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 7, 92°F.
Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat7
Temperature
92°F
Feels like
101°F
Wind
3 mph
Gusts
7 mph
Humidity
55%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
8% ≥0.1" 4% ≥0.25" 2%
3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 98°F · wind 10 mph — 7° warmer and 6 mph windier than the blend.
NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip
The Game Window, Hour by Hour
stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked| Local | Temp | Wind mph | Gust | Precip in/hr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 pm | 99° | 4 | 8 | 0.02 |
| 5 pm | 97° | 4 | 8 | — |
| 6 pm | 96° | 4 | 7 | — |
| 7 pm | 93° | 3 | 6 | — |
| 8 pm | 90° | 3 | 6 | — |
| 9 pm | 87° | 3 | 6 | — |
| 10 pm | 86° | 3 | 6 | — |
| 11 pm | 84° | 2 | 5 | — |
How the Forecast Has Moved
one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 5 | 91° | 5 g9 | dry | 55.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 5 | 91° | 4 g7 | dry | 52.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 6 | 91° | 4 g7 | dry | 52.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 7 | 94° | 4 g8 | dry | 52.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 7 | 93° | 3 g7 | dry | 52.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 7 | 92° | 3 g7 | dry | 53.5 |
The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Location
Memphis, TN
Elevation
297 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.
What Weather Like This Does to Scoring
FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station| Forecast band | Games | Avg points |
|---|---|---|
| negligible | 14,878 | 55.1 ← |
| minor | 2,999 | 53.2 |
| notable | 474 | 48.8 |
| high | 27 | 47.7 |