Weather Replay

This replay is the the best available gridded reconstruction — ERA5-Land at roughly 9 km, sampled at the nearest grid point to the stadium, hour by hour. It is not a measurement taken inside the bowl, and confidence varies by variable and era. Rarity tells you how unusual it was for that stadium (a December freeze in Cleveland is routine; a September gale is not). The next layer — coming with our forecast archive — overlays the NBM/HRRR forecast that was on the wire days before kickoff, so you can see exactly how much of it was knowable, and how much was a genuine surprise.