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Youngstown State at Kentucky

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

Youngstown StateYSU
Sat, Sep 5 · 1:00 PM EDTSECN+
UK -22.5 · O/U 62.5
Kalshi total 62.3 · UK win 94% 16k vol
Kroger FieldLexington, KY

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 18range 4–25negligible

Precipitation-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 12, 89°F, rain 0.03 in/hr.

Wind4
Precip10
Cold0
Heat4
Temperature
89°F
Feels like
97°F
Wind
7 mph
Gusts
12 mph
Humidity
59%
Precip
0.03 in/hr
Rain chance
45% ≥0.1" 32% ≥0.25" 11%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 95°F · wind 10 mph — 6° warmer than the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
11 am84°48
12 pm86°610
1 pm88°611
2 pm89°712
3 pm89°712
4 pm89°712
5 pm88°7120.01
6 pm86°6110.02

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 65 days: WFI 53 days: WFI 648 h: WFI 924 h: WFI 1812 h: WFI 146 h: WFI 178d5d3d48h24h12h6h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 688°7 g11dry62.5
5 days outWFI 586°7 g12dry62.5
3 days outWFI 688°6 g10dry62.5
48 h outWFI 988°6 g11dry62.5
24 h outWFI 1892°7 g120.0262.5
12 h outWFI 1491°7 g13dry62.5
6 h outWFI 1789°7 g120.0262.5

The forecast moved 13 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Kroger Field
Location
Lexington, KY
Elevation
1,009 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7