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Western Michigan at Michigan

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

16MichiganMICH
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM EDTNBC
MICH -27.5 · O/U 49.5
Kalshi total 49.4 · MICH win 98% 10k vol
Michigan StadiumAnn Arbor, MI

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 3negligible

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Wind3
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
67°F
Feels like
67°F
Wind
6 mph
Gusts
14 mph
Humidity
82%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
3% ≥0.1" 0% ≥0.25" 0%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 73°F · wind 4 mph — 5° warmer than the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
6 pm73°814
7 pm72°713
8 pm70°613
9 pm67°614
10 pm65°613
11 pm63°612
12 am61°611

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 45 days: WFI 63 days: WFI 048 h: WFI 324 h: WFI 1212 h: WFI 38d5d3d48h24h12h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 478°7 g13dry47.5
5 days outWFI 674°8 g15dry48.5
3 days outWFI 071°5 g10dry48.5
48 h outWFI 371°6 g13dry49.5
24 h outWFI 1268°7 g140.0249.5
12 h outWFI 367°6 g14dry49.5

The forecast moved 12 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Michigan Stadium
Location
Ann Arbor, MI
Elevation
838 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7