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UTSA at Texas State

Week 2 · September 12, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

UTSAUTSA
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30 PM CDTCW
TXST -1.5 · O/U 64.5
Kalshi TXST win 49%
UFCU StadiumSan Marcos, TX

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 13negligible

Heat-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 15, 93°F.

Wind5
Precip0
Cold0
Heat8
Temperature
93°F
Feels like
103°F
Wind
7 mph
Gusts
15 mph
Humidity
54%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
10% ≥0.1" 8% ≥0.25" 5%

NBM blend at the stadium point

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
1 pm93°715
7 pm91°817

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 1292°7 g15dry64.5

The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
UFCU Stadium
Location
San Marcos, TX
Elevation
584 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7