POWERED BY WEATHER.CITY
COLLEGE   METHODOLOGY
weather.football

UL Monroe at Mississippi State

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

UL MonroeULM
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDTESPNU
MSST -28.5 · O/U 54.5
Kalshi total 54.2 · MSST win 96% 2k vol
Davis Wade StadiumStarkville, MS

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 3range 0–11negligible

Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 7, 86°F.

Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat3
Temperature
86°F
Feels like
94°F
Wind
2 mph
Gusts
7 mph
Humidity
70%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
8% ≥0.1" 5% ≥0.25" 2%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 97°F · wind 4 mph — 11° warmer than the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
5 pm96°38
6 pm95°38
7 pm90°37
8 pm85°27
9 pm82°37
10 pm80°38
11 pm79°38

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 55 days: WFI 53 days: WFI 548 h: WFI 624 h: WFI 612 h: WFI 38d5d3d48h24h12h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 590°3 g8dry56.5
5 days outWFI 588°1 g6dry54.5
3 days outWFI 588°2 g6dry54.5
48 h outWFI 689°2 g7dry54.5
24 h outWFI 686°2 g6dry54.5
12 h outWFI 386°2 g7dry54.5

The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Davis Wade Stadium
Location
Starkville, MS
Elevation
362 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7