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Towson at Navy

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

TowsonTOW
NavyNAVY
Sat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTCBSSN
NAVY -30.5 · O/U 50.5
Kalshi total 50.2 · NAVY win 98% 30k vol
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial StadiumAnnapolis, MD

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 1negligible

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Wind1
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
81°F
Feels like
83°F
Wind
5 mph
Gusts
9 mph
Humidity
61%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
2% ≥0.1" 1% ≥0.25" 0%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 84°F · wind 4 mph — agrees with the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
2 pm81°69
3 pm81°69
4 pm82°69
5 pm81°58
6 pm80°58
7 pm79°47
8 pm78°37

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 65 days: WFI 93 days: WFI 648 h: WFI 424 h: WFI 412 h: WFI 18d5d3d48h24h12h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 685°7 g11dry53.5
5 days outWFI 982°9 g13dry52.5
3 days outWFI 683°8 g12dry50.5
48 h outWFI 482°7 g10dry49.5
24 h outWFI 479°6 g9dry49.5
12 h outWFI 180°5 g9dry50.5

The forecast moved 8 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Location
Annapolis, MD
Elevation
35 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7