How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
San José State 26, USC 42
Total
68 · Over
Observed WFI
WFI 14measured at HHR
Observed conditions
87°F · wind 11 g17 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Fri): WFI 0 (negligible) — 86°F, wind 2 g6 mph, dry. Total posted at 60.5.
- 5 days out (Mon): the total moved 60.5 → 59.5.
- 3 days out (Wed): the total moved 59.5 → 60.5.
- 48 h out (Thu): WFI 0 → 9; wind up 6 mph.
- 24 h out (Fri): the total moved 60.5 → 61.5.
- Held essentially steady from there to 3 h out (Sat).
- Measured: WFI 14 (station HHR). From 48 h out (Thu) the forecast never strayed more than 5 points from what was measured — knowable 48 h before kickoff.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 0 | 86° | 2 g6 | — | 60.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 0 | 87° | 3 g7 | dry | 59.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 0 | 86° | 3 g7 | dry | 60.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 9 | 87° | 9 g15 | dry | 60.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 9 | 88° | 8 g16 | dry | 61.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 9 | 89° | 8 g16 | dry | 61.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 9 | 88° | 8 g16 | dry | 61.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 9 | 89° | 7 g16 | dry | 61.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Location
Los Angeles, CA
Elevation
139 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.