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North Texas at Indiana

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTFOX
IU -40.5 · O/U 56.5
Kalshi total 56.7 · IU win 99% 138k vol
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)Bloomington, IN

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 11range 2–12negligible

Heat-driven impact — 5 mph wind, gusts 12, 89°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.

Wind1
Precip5
Cold0
Heat5
Temperature
89°F
Feels like
98°F
Wind
6 mph
Gusts
12 mph
Humidity
62%
Precip
0.007 in/hr
Rain chance
9% ≥0.1" 5% ≥0.25" 2%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 92°F · wind 10 mph — agrees with the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
10 am80°25
11 am84°37
12 pm87°480.06
1 pm89°510
2 pm90°612
3 pm90°612
4 pm90°612
5 pm89°612

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 45 days: WFI 23 days: WFI 448 h: WFI 524 h: WFI 1112 h: WFI 116 h: WFI 83 h: WFI 118d5d3d48h24h12h6h3h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 488°6 g12dry55.5
5 days outWFI 286°5 g10dry55.5
3 days outWFI 487°4 g7dry55.5
48 h outWFI 588°4 g8dry55.5
24 h outWFI 1191°6 g12dry56.5
12 h outWFI 1191°6 g12dry56.5
6 h outWFI 889°6 g12dry56.5
3 h outWFI 1189°6 g120.0156.5

The forecast moved 9 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Location
Bloomington, IN
Elevation
760 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7