How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
New Mexico State 17, Florida State 34
Total
51 · Under
Observed WFI
WFI 0measured at TLH
Observed conditions
80°F · wind 2 g3 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Fri): WFI 0 (negligible) — 81°F, wind 2 g7 mph, dry. Total posted at 53.5.
- Held steady to 3 days out (Wed).
- 48 h out (Thu): WFI 0 → 4.
- Held steady to 6 h out (Sat).
- 3 h out (Sat): WFI 4 → 0.
- Measured: WFI 0 (station TLH). The very first snapshot, 8 days out (Fri), was already within 5 points — this one was knowable a week out.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 0 | 81° | 2 g7 | — | 53.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 0 | 79° | 0 g5 | dry | 53.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 0 | 78° | 2 g6 | dry | 53.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 4 | 78° | 1 g6 | 0.01 | 53.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 5 | 77° | 2 g8 | 0.01 | 53.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 2 | 78° | 2 g9 | dry | 53.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 5 | 78° | 2 g8 | 0.01 | 53.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 0 | 78° | 2 g8 | dry | 53.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Doak Campbell Stadium
Location
Tallahassee, FL
Elevation
64 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.