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Montana State at Nevada

Week 2 · September 12, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

Montana StateMTST
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:30 PM PDTCW
no line posted yet
Kalshi NEV win 34%
Mackay StadiumReno, NV

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 20minor

Wind-driven impact — 13 mph wind, gusts 23, 75°F.

Wind20
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
75°F
Feels like
75°F
Wind
13 mph
Gusts
24 mph
Humidity
31%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
3% ≥0.1" 1% ≥0.25" 1%

NBM blend at the stadium point

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 1375°10 g20dry

The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Mackay Stadium
Location
Reno, NV
Elevation
4,615 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1
minor2,99953.2 ←
notable47448.8
high2747.7