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Mercyhurst at New Mexico State

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

MercyhurstMERC
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM MDTESPN+
NMSU -28.5 · O/U 52.5
Kalshi total 52 · NMSU win 97% 10k vol
Aggie Memorial StadiumLas Cruces, NM

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 0negligible

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
84°F
Feels like
84°F
Wind
1 mph
Gusts
5 mph
Humidity
41%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
6% ≥0.1" 1% ≥0.25" 0%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 93°F · wind 3 mph — 8° warmer than the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
5 pm92°28
6 pm91°27
7 pm88°15
8 pm85°14
9 pm83°14
10 pm81°03
11 pm80°13
12 am79°13

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 25 days: WFI 13 days: WFI 048 h: WFI 224 h: WFI 012 h: WFI 08d5d3d48h24h12h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 296°4 g12dry50.5
5 days outWFI 193°4 g12dry51.5
3 days outWFI 090°3 g9dry52.5
48 h outWFI 281°2 g5dry52.5
24 h outWFI 084°1 g5dry52.5
12 h outWFI 084°1 g5dry52.5

The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Location
Las Cruces, NM
Elevation
3,964 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7