The Forecast at Kickoff
scored by the same engine as every game since 2001WFI 12negligible
Wind-driven impact — 10 mph wind, gusts 16, 82°F.
Wind12
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
82°F
Feels like
86°F
Wind
10 mph
Gusts
16 mph
Humidity
64%
Precip
dry
Across the field
8 mph down it 6
Rain chance
3% ≥0.1" 0% ≥0.25" 0%
3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 93°F · wind 0 mph — 11° warmer and 10 mph calmer than the blend.
NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip
The Game Window, Hour by Hour
stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked| Local | Temp | Wind mph | Gust | Precip in/hr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 pm | 90° | 11 | 17 | — |
| 6 pm | 88° | 11 | 17 | — |
| 7 pm | 85° | 11 | 16 | — |
| 8 pm | 82° | 10 | 16 | — |
| 9 pm | 80° | 11 | 16 | — |
| 10 pm | 78° | 10 | 16 | — |
| 11 pm | 77° | 9 | 15 | — |
How the Forecast Has Moved
one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 1 | 86° | 5 g8 | dry | 55.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 6 | 88° | 6 g9 | dry | 55.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 13 | 89° | 10 g14 | dry | 55.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 13 | 88° | 10 g15 | dry | 54.5 |
The forecast moved 12 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Nissan Stadium
Location
Nashville, TN
Elevation
397 ft
Roof
open air
Site
neutral
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.
What Weather Like This Does to Scoring
FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station| Forecast band | Games | Avg points |
|---|---|---|
| negligible | 14,878 | 55.1 ← |
| minor | 2,999 | 53.2 |
| notable | 474 | 48.8 |
| high | 27 | 47.7 |