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Lamar at Louisiana

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

LamarLAM
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM CDTESPN+
UL -20.5 · O/U 48.5
Kalshi total 48.7 · UL win 92%
Our Lady of Lourdes StadiumLafayette, LA

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 0negligible

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
80°F
Feels like
88°F
Wind
0 mph
Gusts
5 mph
Humidity
93%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
2% ≥0.1" 1% ≥0.25" 0%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 80°F · wind 8 mph — 8 mph windier than the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
5 pm83°360.08
6 pm83°260.01
7 pm82°25
8 pm81°04
9 pm79°03
10 pm79°03
11 pm78°02
12 am77°02

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 75 days: WFI 63 days: WFI 1048 h: WFI 724 h: WFI 312 h: WFI 08d5d3d48h24h12h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 788°5 g11dry48.5
5 days outWFI 686°2 g7dry48.5
3 days outWFI 1084°1 g50.0148.5
48 h outWFI 781°1 g50.0148.5
24 h outWFI 381°1 g6dry48.5
12 h outWFI 080°0 g5dry48.5

The forecast moved 10 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium
Location
Lafayette, LA
Elevation
12 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7