How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
Fresno State 0, USC 39
Total
39 · Under
Observed WFI
WFI 4URMA analysis at the stadium cell (0.8 mi)
Observed conditions
73°F · wind 7 g16 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Fri): WFI 9 (negligible) — 81°F, wind 9 g15 mph, dry. Total posted at 51.5.
- Held steady to 5 days out (Mon).
- 3 days out (Wed): 4° cooler.
- 48 h out (Thu): WFI 9 → 0; 8° cooler; wind down 4 mph.
- Held essentially steady from there to 3 h out (Fri).
- Measured: WFI 4 (the analysis at the stadium cell). The very first snapshot, 8 days out (Fri), was already within 5 points — this one was knowable a week out.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 9 | 81° | 9 g15 | dry | 51.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 9 | 79° | 9 g15 | dry | 51.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 9 | 77° | 9 g14 | dry | 51.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 0 | 69° | 5 g8 | dry | 51.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 1 | 70° | 6 g12 | dry | 51.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 0 | 71° | 5 g12 | dry | 51.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 0 | 71° | 5 g12 | dry | 51.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 0 | 71° | 5 g12 | dry | 51.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Location
Los Angeles, CA
Elevation
139 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.