Arkansas-Pine BluffUAPB14
How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 14, Missouri 54
Total
68 · Over
Observed WFI
WFI 5URMA analysis at the stadium cell (0.6 mi)
Observed conditions
88°F · wind 5 g12 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Thu): WFI 2 (negligible) — 85°F, wind 5 g8 mph, dry. Total posted at 60.5.
- 5 days out (Sun): 5° warmer.
- Held steady to 48 h out (Wed).
- 24 h out (Thu): the total moved 60.5 → 61.5.
- Held steady to 12 h out (Thu).
- 6 h out (Thu): the total moved 61.5 → 62.5.
- 3 h out (Thu): the total moved 62.5 → 61.5.
- Measured: WFI 5 (the analysis at the stadium cell). The very first snapshot, 8 days out (Thu), was already within 5 points — this one was knowable a week out.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 2 | 85° | 5 g8 | dry | 60.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 4 | 90° | 2 g4 | dry | 60.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 6 | 91° | 2 g4 | dry | 60.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 3 | 88° | 3 g8 | dry | 60.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 3 | 87° | 4 g9 | dry | 61.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 2 | 87° | 4 g10 | dry | 61.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 3 | 88° | 4 g10 | dry | 62.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 3 | 88° | 4 g10 | dry | 61.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Memorial Stadium
Location
Columbia, MO
Elevation
698 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.