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App State at East Carolina

Week 2 · September 12, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

App StateAPP
Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM EDTESPNU
ECU -10 · O/U 56.5
Kalshi ECU win 76%
Dowdy-Ficklen StadiumGreenville, NC

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 4range 3–18negligible

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Wind3
Precip0
Cold0
Heat1
Temperature
88°F
Feels like
91°F
Wind
6 mph
Gusts
8 mph
Humidity
47%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
24% ≥0.1" 13% ≥0.25" 8%

NBM blend at the stadium point

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 384°6 g9dry

The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Location
Greenville, NC
Elevation
63 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7