The Forecast at Kickoff
scored by the same engine as every game since 2001WFI 3negligible
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Wind3
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
85°F
Feels like
87°F
Wind
6 mph
Gusts
10 mph
Humidity
49%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
6% ≥0.1" 4% ≥0.25" 2%
NBM blend at the stadium point
The Game Window, Hour by Hour
stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked| Local | Temp | Wind mph | Gust | Precip in/hr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 pm | 85° | 6 | 10 | — |
| 8 pm | 79° | 3 | 4 | — |
How the Forecast Has Moved
one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 3 | 85° | 6 g10 | dry | — |
The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Kroger Field
Location
Lexington, KY
Elevation
1,009 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.
What Weather Like This Does to Scoring
FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station| Forecast band | Games | Avg points |
|---|---|---|
| negligible | 14,878 | 55.1 ← |
| minor | 2,999 | 53.2 |
| notable | 474 | 48.8 |
| high | 27 | 47.7 |