The Forecast at Kickoff
scored by the same engine as every game since 2001WFI 0negligible
Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.
Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
71°F
Feels like
71°F
Wind
5 mph
Gusts
8 mph
Humidity
61%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
1% ≥0.1" 0% ≥0.25" 0%
3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 72°F · wind 1 mph — agrees with the blend.
NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip
The Game Window, Hour by Hour
stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked| Local | Temp | Wind mph | Gust | Precip in/hr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 am | 64° | 4 | 6 | — |
| 12 pm | 67° | 4 | 6 | — |
| 1 pm | 69° | 5 | 7 | — |
| 2 pm | 71° | 5 | 8 | — |
| 3 pm | 72° | 5 | 8 | — |
| 4 pm | 72° | 5 | 7 | — |
| 5 pm | 74° | 4 | 7 | — |
| 6 pm | 72° | 4 | 5 | — |
How the Forecast Has Moved
one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 1 | 62° | 5 g8 | dry | 50.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 0 | 64° | 4 g6 | dry | 50.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 0 | 63° | 4 g7 | dry | 51.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 2 | 70° | 6 g9 | dry | 51.5 |
The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Husky Stadium
Location
Seattle, WA
Elevation
38 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.
What Weather Like This Does to Scoring
FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station| Forecast band | Games | Avg points |
|---|---|---|
| negligible | 14,878 | 55.1 ← |
| minor | 2,999 | 53.2 |
| notable | 474 | 48.8 |
| high | 27 | 47.7 |