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UC Davis at SMU

Week 2 · September 12, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

UC DavisUCD
19SMUSMU
Sat, Sep 12 · 3:00 PM CDTACCNX
no line posted yet
Kalshi SMU win 92%
Gerald J. Ford StadiumDallas, TX

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 19negligible

Wind-driven impact — 10 mph wind, gusts 16, 96°F.

Wind11
Precip0
Cold0
Heat8
Temperature
96°F
Feels like
103°F
Wind
10 mph
Gusts
16 mph
Humidity
44%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
4% ≥0.1" 2% ≥0.25" 1%

NBM blend at the stadium point

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
1 pm96°1016
7 pm96°1218

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 2096°11 g17dry

The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Location
Dallas, TX
Elevation
556 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7