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South Dakota State at Northwestern

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

South Dakota StateSDST
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM CDTBTN
NU -12.5 · O/U 46.5
Kalshi total 46.8 · NU win 80% 16k vol
Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin StadiumEvanston, IL

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 16negligible

Wind-driven impact — 12 mph wind, gusts 19, 73°F.

Wind16
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
73°F
Feels like
73°F
Wind
12 mph
Gusts
19 mph
Humidity
86%
Precip
dry
Across the field
4 mph down it 12
Rain chance
0% ≥0.1" 0% ≥0.25" 0%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 66°F · wind 5 mph — 6° cooler and 7 mph calmer than the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
5 pm73°1420
6 pm73°1319
7 pm73°1319
8 pm73°1318
9 pm73°1217
10 pm73°1116
11 pm73°1014
12 am73°912

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 45 days: WFI 83 days: WFI 448 h: WFI 1224 h: WFI 1512 h: WFI 168d5d3d48h24h12h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 478°7 g10dry46.5
5 days outWFI 877°8 g12dry46.5
3 days outWFI 476°7 g10dry46.5
48 h outWFI 1275°10 g16dry46.5
24 h outWFI 1574°12 g18dry46.5
12 h outWFI 1673°12 g19dry46.5

The forecast moved 12 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium
Location
Evanston, IL
Elevation
587 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7