The Forecast at Kickoff
scored by the same engine as every game since 2001WFI 10range 0–25negligible
Precipitation-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 10, 78°F, rain 0.03 in/hr.
Wind0
Precip10
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
78°F
Feels like
78°F
Wind
3 mph
Gusts
10 mph
Humidity
93%
Precip
0.028 in/hr
Rain chance
83% ≥0.1" 72% ≥0.25" 58%
NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip
The Game Window, Hour by Hour
stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked| Local | Temp | Wind mph | Gust | Precip in/hr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 pm | 78° | 3 | 10 | 0.03 |
| 11 pm | 76° | 3 | 9 | — |
How the Forecast Has Moved
one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 6 | 79° | 5 g13 | 0.01 | 53.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 6 | 78° | 3 g9 | 0.01 | 52.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 14 | 79° | 4 g10 | 0.06 | 53.5 |
The forecast moved 8 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Doak Campbell Stadium
Location
Tallahassee, FL
Elevation
64 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.
What Weather Like This Does to Scoring
FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station| Forecast band | Games | Avg points |
|---|---|---|
| negligible | 14,878 | 55.1 ← |
| minor | 2,999 | 53.2 |
| notable | 474 | 48.8 |
| high | 27 | 47.7 |