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Oregon State at Houston

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

23HoustonHOU
Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM CDTESPN
HOU -21 · O/U 50.5
Kalshi total 50.8 · HOU win 92% 69k vol
TDECU StadiumHouston, TX

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 13range 3–18negligible

Heat-driven impact — 3 mph wind, gusts 6, 89°F, rain 0.01 in/hr.

Wind0
Precip6
Cold0
Heat7
Temperature
90°F
Feels like
102°F
Wind
3 mph
Gusts
6 mph
Humidity
67%
Precip
0.011 in/hr
Rain chance
32% ≥0.1" 20% ≥0.25" 10%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 89°F · wind 3 mph — agrees with the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
9 am83°13
10 am86°13
11 am88°24
12 pm89°250.01
1 pm91°350.15
2 pm90°360.12
3 pm88°47
4 pm88°47

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 115 days: WFI 83 days: WFI 848 h: WFI 1224 h: WFI 1012 h: WFI 136 h: WFI 123 h: WFI 138d5d3d48h24h12h6h3h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 1193°6 g10dry51.5
5 days outWFI 892°5 g8dry50.5
3 days outWFI 891°4 g6dry49.5
48 h outWFI 1290°4 g60.0149.5
24 h outWFI 1088°4 g7dry50.5
12 h outWFI 1389°3 g60.0150.5
6 h outWFI 1290°3 g60.0150.5
3 h outWFI 1390°3 g60.0150.5

The forecast moved 5 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
TDECU Stadium
Location
Houston, TX
Elevation
31 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7