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Northern Arizona at Arizona

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

Northern ArizonaNAU
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM MSTESPN+
ARIZ -31.5 · O/U 58.5
Kalshi total 58.3 · ARIZ win 98% 8k vol
Casino Del Sol StadiumTucson, AZ

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 0negligible

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
89°F
Feels like
88°F
Wind
5 mph
Gusts
12 mph
Humidity
35%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
0% ≥0.1" 0% ≥0.25" 0%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 95°F · wind 8 mph — 5° warmer than the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
5 pm96°817
6 pm94°815
7 pm91°612
8 pm89°510
9 pm88°48
10 pm86°37
11 pm85°48

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 155 days: WFI 33 days: WFI 848 h: WFI 024 h: WFI 18d5d3d48h24h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 15100°9 g18dry56.5
5 days outWFI 390°6 g13dry57.5
3 days outWFI 894°7 g15dry58.5
48 h outWFI 086°5 g10dry58.5
24 h outWFI 188°6 g13dry58.5

The forecast moved 15 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Casino Del Sol Stadium
Location
Tucson, AZ
Elevation
2,435 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7