How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
North Carolina 15, TCU 10
Total
25 · Under
The Forecast So Far
what you could have known, and when — one locked snapshot per lead- First recorded, 8 days out (Sun): WFI 29 (minor) — 63°F, wind 10 g29 mph, rain 0.03 in/hr. Total posted at 47.5.
- 5 days out (Mon): WFI 29 → 2; 4° cooler; wind down 6 mph; the rain washes out of the forecast.
- 3 days out (Wed): 4° warmer.
- 48 h out (Thu): the total moved 47.5 → 46.5.
- Held steady to 12 h out (Sat).
- 6 h out (Sat): WFI 3 → 9; rain enters the forecast (0.025 in/hr); the total moved 46.5 → 45.5.
- 3 h out (Sat): the total moved 45.5 → 46.5.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 29 | 63° | 10 g29 | 0.03 | 47.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 2 | 58° | 4 g14 | dry | 47.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 2 | 63° | 2 g8 | dry | 47.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 3 | 62° | 4 g10 | dry | 46.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 3 | 63° | 6 g13 | dry | 46.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 4 | 61° | 6 g13 | dry | 46.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 9 | 62° | 4 g9 | 0.03 | 45.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 9 | 62° | 4 g9 | 0.03 | 46.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Aviva Stadium
Location
Dublin
Elevation
20 ft
Roof
open air
Site
neutral
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.