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Nicholls at Kansas State

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

NichollsNICH
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDTESPN+
KSU -41.5 · O/U 54.5
Kalshi total 54.8 · KSU win 98% 16k vol
Bill Snyder Family StadiumManhattan, KS

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 4negligible

Heat-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 9, 92°F.

Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat4
Temperature
92°F
Feels like
97°F
Wind
4 mph
Gusts
9 mph
Humidity
46%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
1% ≥0.1" 0% ≥0.25" 0%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 100°F · wind 4 mph — 8° warmer than the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
4 pm98°610
5 pm98°59
6 pm97°59
7 pm94°48
8 pm90°37
9 pm87°37
10 pm84°26
11 pm83°26

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 95 days: WFI 63 days: WFI 648 h: WFI 624 h: WFI 412 h: WFI 48d5d3d48h24h12h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 988°8 g15dry55.5
5 days outWFI 692°6 g10dry55.5
3 days outWFI 694°4 g8dry54.5
48 h outWFI 695°3 g7dry54.5
24 h outWFI 492°4 g8dry54.5
12 h outWFI 492°4 g9dry54.5

The forecast moved 5 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Location
Manhattan, KS
Elevation
1,076 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7