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Morgan State at Arizona State

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

Morgan StateMORG
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM MSTESPN+
ASU -44.5 · O/U 52.5
Kalshi total 52.7 · ASU win 99% 7k vol
Mountain America StadiumTempe, AZ

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 3negligible

Heat-driven impact — 4 mph wind, gusts 8, 96°F.

Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat3
Temperature
96°F
Feels like
94°F
Wind
4 mph
Gusts
8 mph
Humidity
28%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
0% ≥0.1" 0% ≥0.25" 0%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 97°F · wind 9 mph — agrees with the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
5 pm102°613
6 pm100°610
7 pm98°48
8 pm97°47
9 pm95°36
10 pm92°35
11 pm91°35
12 am90°34

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 125 days: WFI 133 days: WFI 848 h: WFI 224 h: WFI 28d5d3d48h24h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 12105°7 g14dry52.5
5 days outWFI 1393°5 g100.0252.5
3 days outWFI 8100°6 g12dry52.5
48 h outWFI 293°4 g7dry52.5
24 h outWFI 294°4 g7dry52.5

The forecast moved 11 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Mountain America Stadium
Location
Tempe, AZ
Elevation
1,182 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7