How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
Miami 45, Stanford 6
Total
51 · Over
Observed WFI
WFI 7URMA analysis at the stadium cell (0.8 mi)
Observed conditions
68°F · wind 8 g16 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Fri): WFI 11 (negligible) — 77°F, wind 10 g16 mph, dry. Total posted at 47.5.
- 5 days out (Mon): WFI 11 → 18.
- 3 days out (Wed): the total moved 47.5 → 48.5.
- 48 h out (Thu): WFI 16 → 6; 9° cooler; wind down 5 mph.
- Held steady to 12 h out (Fri).
- 6 h out (Fri): the total moved 48.5 → 47.5.
- 3 h out (Fri): the total moved 47.5 → 46.5.
- Measured: WFI 7 (the analysis at the stadium cell). From 48 h out (Thu) the forecast never strayed more than 5 points from what was measured — knowable 48 h before kickoff.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 11 | 77° | 10 g16 | dry | 47.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 18 | 74° | 13 g20 | dry | 47.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 16 | 72° | 12 g18 | dry | 48.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 6 | 64° | 8 g12 | dry | 48.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 8 | 66° | 9 g16 | dry | 48.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 8 | 67° | 9 g16 | dry | 48.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 8 | 66° | 9 g16 | dry | 47.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 8 | 66° | 8 g16 | dry | 46.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Stanford Stadium
Location
Stanford, CA
Elevation
60 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.