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Lafayette at UConn

Week 1 · September 5, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

LafayetteLAF
UConnCONN
Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTUConn+
CONN -19.5 · O/U 51.5
Kalshi total 51.9 · CONN win 92% 15k vol
Pratt & Whitney StadiumEast Hartford, CT

Live Conditions

measured at the nearest station while the game is on

Live station conditions appear here around kickoff, refreshed every few minutes during the game.

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 7range 4–13negligible

Wind-driven impact — 7 mph wind, gusts 14, 76°F, rain 0.00 in/hr.

Wind4
Precip3
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
76°F
Feels like
76°F
Wind
7 mph
Gusts
14 mph
Humidity
63%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
49% ≥0.1" 19% ≥0.25" 4%

3-km HRRR check at kickoff: 75°F · wind 3 mph — agrees with the blend.

NBM blend at the stadium point + NDFD forecaster precip

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
10 am71°613
11 am73°715
12 pm75°714
1 pm75°714
2 pm76°713
3 pm76°612
4 pm75°612
5 pm73°6110.06

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
020408 days: WFI 45 days: WFI 83 days: WFI 948 h: WFI 724 h: WFI 412 h: WFI 76 h: WFI 73 h: WFI 78d5d3d48h24h12h6h3h
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 475°7 g14dry58.5
5 days outWFI 873°9 g16dry58.5
3 days outWFI 976°9 g17dry52.5
48 h outWFI 777°8 g16dry52.5
24 h outWFI 476°7 g14dry51.5
12 h outWFI 776°7 g14dry51.5
6 h outWFI 776°7 g14dry51.5
3 h outWFI 776°7 g14dry51.5

The forecast moved 5 WFI points as kickoff neared. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Location
East Hartford, CT
Elevation
21 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7