IdahoIDHO14
How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
Idaho 14, Utah 66
Total
80 · Over
Observed WFI
WFI 1URMA analysis at the stadium cell (0.4 mi)
Observed conditions
79°F · wind 5 g15 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Thu): WFI 0 (negligible) — 79°F, wind 5 g12 mph, dry. Total posted at 56.5.
- 5 days out (Sun): WFI 0 → 11.
- 3 days out (Tue): WFI 11 → 21; the total moved 56.5 → 57.5.
- 48 h out (Wed): WFI 21 → 28; 8° cooler.
- Held steady to 24 h out (Thu).
- 12 h out (Thu): 5° warmer.
- 6 h out (Thu): the total moved 57.5 → 59.5.
- Held essentially steady from there to 3 h out (Thu).
- Measured: WFI 1 (the analysis at the stadium cell). Even the final forecast said 25 — a miss of 24 points; this one the forecast never fully caught.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 0 | 79° | 5 g12 | dry | 56.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 11 | 81° | 8 g21 | dry | 56.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 21 | 81° | 12 g28 | dry | 57.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 28 | 73° | 15 g30 | dry | 57.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 28 | 76° | 14 g32 | dry | 57.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 26 | 78° | 14 g30 | dry | 57.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 26 | 75° | 14 g31 | dry | 59.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 25 | 75° | 13 g30 | dry | 59.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Location
Salt Lake City, UT
Elevation
4,631 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.