Eastern IllinoisEIU7
How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
Eastern Illinois 7, Minnesota 59
Total
66 · Over
Observed WFI
WFI 9URMA analysis at the stadium cell (0.4 mi)
Observed conditions
83°F · wind 7 g21 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Thu): WFI 6 (negligible) — 79°F, wind 8 g13 mph, dry. Total posted at 51.5.
- 5 days out (Sun): WFI 6 → 3.
- Held steady to 3 days out (Tue).
- 48 h out (Wed): WFI 3 → 8.
- 24 h out (Thu): WFI 8 → 15; rain enters the forecast (0.047 in/hr).
- 12 h out (Thu): WFI 15 → 10.
- 6 h out (Thu): the total moved 51.5 → 52.5.
- 3 h out (Thu): the rain washes out of the forecast.
- Measured: WFI 9 (the analysis at the stadium cell). From 12 h out (Thu) the forecast never strayed more than 5 points from what was measured — knowable 12 h before kickoff.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 6 | 79° | 8 g13 | dry | 51.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 3 | 81° | 6 g11 | dry | 51.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 3 | 82° | 6 g11 | dry | 51.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 8 | 81° | 7 g13 | dry | 51.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 15 | 80° | 6 g13 | 0.05 | 51.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 10 | 81° | 7 g13 | 0.01 | 51.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 11 | 82° | 8 g15 | 0.01 | 52.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 10 | 81° | 7 g16 | 0.01 | 52.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Huntington Bank Stadium
Location
Minneapolis, MN
Elevation
835 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.