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East Tennessee State at North Carolina

Week 2 · September 12, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

East Tennessee StateETSU
Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM EDTACC Network
no line posted yet
Kalshi UNC win 98%
Kenan StadiumChapel Hill, NC

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 1range 0–13negligible

Benign conditions; weather is a non-factor.

Wind0
Precip0
Cold0
Heat1
Temperature
87°F
Feels like
90°F
Wind
4 mph
Gusts
8 mph
Humidity
49%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
18% ≥0.1" 9% ≥0.25" 8%

NBM blend at the stadium point

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 084°5 g8dry

The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Kenan Stadium
Location
Chapel Hill, NC
Elevation
419 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7