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Duke at Illinois

Week 2 · September 12, 2026 · every hour, the forecast is re-scored and the record kept.

DukeDUKE
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30 PM CDTFS1
ILL -8.5 · O/U 56.5
Kalshi ILL win 73%
Gies Memorial StadiumChampaign, IL

The Forecast at Kickoff

scored by the same engine as every game since 2001
WFI 7range 7–15negligible

Wind-driven impact — 8 mph wind, gusts 14, 86°F.

Wind7
Precip0
Cold0
Heat0
Temperature
86°F
Feels like
87°F
Wind
8 mph
Gusts
14 mph
Humidity
50%
Precip
dry
Rain chance
9% ≥0.1" 5% ≥0.25" 2%

NBM blend at the stadium point

The Game Window, Hour by Hour

stadium point, local clock; kickoff row marked
LocalTempWind mphGustPrecip in/hr
1 pm86°814
7 pm81°610

How the Forecast Has Moved

one immutable snapshot per lead — recorded, never revised
LeadWFITempWind mphPrecip in/hrTotal
8 days outWFI 1086°9 g15dry

The forecast held steady. Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket; this record cannot be rewritten after the fact.

The Building

where this one is played
Venue
Gies Memorial Stadium
Location
Champaign, IL
Elevation
732 ft
Roof
open air

Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.

What Weather Like This Does to Scoring

FBS games 2001–2025, measured at the nearest station
Forecast bandGamesAvg points
negligible14,87855.1 ←
minor2,99953.2
notable47448.8
high2747.7