Bethune-CookmanBCU6
How It Ended
the settlement the forecast record is graded againstFinal
Bethune-Cookman 6, UCF 73
Total
79 · Over
Observed WFI
WFI 5URMA analysis at the stadium cell (0.2 mi)
Observed conditions
81°F · wind 7 g9 mph · dry
The Forecast Replay
what you could have known, and when — no hindsight, then the verdict- First recorded, 8 days out (Wed): WFI 6 (negligible) — 80°F, wind 5 g8 mph, rain 0.01 in/hr. Total posted at 59.5.
- 5 days out (Sat): the rain washes out of the forecast.
- 3 days out (Mon): rain enters the forecast (0.01 in/hr).
- Held steady to 48 h out (Tue).
- 24 h out (Wed): the total moved 59.5 → 58.5.
- Held steady to 12 h out (Thu).
- 6 h out (Thu): WFI 10 → 23; the total moved 58.5 → 57.5.
- 3 h out (Thu): WFI 23 → 14; the total moved 57.5 → 58.5.
- Measured: WFI 5 (the analysis at the stadium cell). Even the final forecast said 14 — a miss of 9 points; this one the forecast never fully caught.
| Lead | WFI | Temp | Wind mph | Precip in/hr | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 days out | WFI 6 | 80° | 5 g8 | 0.01 | 59.5 |
| 5 days out | WFI 6 | 78° | 8 g11 | dry | 59.5 |
| 3 days out | WFI 8 | 78° | 6 g10 | 0.01 | 59.5 |
| 48 h out | WFI 10 | 78° | 7 g11 | 0.01 | 59.5 |
| 24 h out | WFI 10 | 78° | 6 g13 | 0.01 | 58.5 |
| 12 h out | WFI 11 | 78° | 6 g10 | 0.03 | 58.5 |
| 6 h out | WFI 23 | 78° | 6 g12 | 0.12 | 57.5 |
| 3 h out | WFI 14 | 78° | 6 g12 | 0.04 | 58.5 |
Snapshots are captured hourly and locked at each lead bucket (8 days out through kickoff); the record cannot be rewritten after the fact, which is what makes the replay honest.
The Building
where this one is playedVenue
Acrisure Bounce House
Location
Orlando, FL
Elevation
69 ft
Roof
open air
Full point forecast — every element, hour by hour — at Forecast Points.